Well, I had to really think about this draft, like most drafts that I participated this year because I simply did not prepare. No mock drafts, barely listened to Fantasy Focus Football or even read the ESPN Magazine. Simply, I would have angered TalentedMrRoto (twitter: @MatthewBerryTMR) and any other fantasy guru. Either way, here's some analysis of my Crowmania Draft tonight, and thoughts of persperation and desperation.
Keepers: Hakeem Nicks and Darren McFadden (Run DMC). I had to a choice of 4: Nicks, RunDMC, Jamaal Charles and Fred Jackson. By Labor Day, I felt like crap. I should have moved up in draft picks and really try to sell Charles and Jackson for either a better keeper or better a high draft slot on my 8th pick in the 3rd round. I kept Nicks because the Giants got rid of Manningham. I don't think whatever Victor Cruz does affects Nicks. Eli's [Manning] going to throw the ball because I don't think Bradshaw can run 20 times per game, and their game management has gone similar to Green Bay and New England with a RB committee last year. Nicks, if healthy for the year could go 1200 yds, 12-15 TDs. I talked myself to that pick.
RunDMC over Jackson and Charles was difficult. I honestly don't like any of these backs. Jackson is on a better team, but CJ Spiller is lurking. RunDMC gets injured and does not finish games. Jamaal Charles is coming off of ACL surgery and as much as I don't like Peyton Hillis, Hillis I think can thrive and take away carries. And oddly, I like Dexter McCluster. It's why a couple of years ago I named my team the "Dexter McCluster***." I finished 3-10-1 that year. Either way, I chose RunDMC because if there's a guy who can be a top 3 RB is McFadden. Taiwan Jones isn't going to take away carries, and the change to zone blocking isn't going to matter, despite numbers saying otherwise. Either I run my way into the ground and finish last or attempt to win a playoff game and not be in the middle of the pack.
Before the draft, I debate with the owner of RASix about whether it's unfair to bad teams to snake draft, and prove that I can do well, when my QBs in the last few years were David Garrard, Trent Edwards, Donovan McNabb. I nearly started Tyler Palko last year. I eventually wound up with Dalton and he's been my best QB, since I traded away Peyton Manning (oops). Anyway, I always thought that this type of league needs more keepers, but for 15 picks, more than two picks owners would consider that a dynasty league and people will just cry, bitch, and moan.
First Pick: 3rd Round 8th Pick: Fred Jackson. Both of my keepers were there. Do I go with the Bills will be better and Jackson stays healthy or do I go with Charles, and deal with drafting Peyton Hillis because Charles TDs will be limited. Easy choice, go Fred Jackson. Picked. Sigh of relieft. I got 15 picks before I draft again. Now if Charles, falls. Victory. Fail. Fourth Round, Round 1: Jeff Rhoades picks Charles.
4th Round, 7th Pick: Steven Jackson. Before this pick was interesting because I was debating myself, Gore, Jackson, or blow this whole thing up and draft Robert Griffin III, RGIII. I couldn't decide and got Autopicked. Steven Jackson was tops on my list, which I don't think Isaiah Pead is going to do anything. Another league, Steven Jackson is on my team. I feel safe about what he's going to give me. Worth the pick.
So, I'm debating, do I try to blow things up by going RGIII in Round 5. RGIII gets picked by Jeff Tripplete. I guess he's blowing things up instead.
5th Round, 8th Pick: Brandon Lloyd. Brandon Lloyd has been someone I targeted to draft, and got in my league. I think he's going to be big. Bold prediction: 1500 yds, 12 TDs. I know I'm overzealously high, but I like the situation. At the time, he's the best WR in my opinion on the board, who Demaryious Thomas, Desean Jackson, and Steve Johnson (which ESPN messed up because it's "Stevie") got picked ahead. I'm thinking about winning this league for once. Eyes wide open.
6th Round, 7th Pick: Willis McGahee. I figured if I'm going to attempt to win this league, I need a safety net. A big safety net. Torrey Smith gets drafted at the end of Round 5, and I'm reeling a bit. Maclin, Smith, Austin and Meachem gets drafted, but I don't like Austin and Meachem. So, I'm second guessing myself for a minute. I lost out on a good 3WR depth. I could go Pierre Garcon, but I'd rather wait or flex him. I go with McGahee because at some point Jackson and McFadden will let me down, and at least with McGahee, he's going to bail out Manning for when they realize he cannot throw more than 20 yards and the Broncos have to ground and pound to be successful. Calm.
Between picks, I look at the QB rankings. The QBs are gone. The best ones that are left are Flacco and Dalton, which I like in that order, as 1 and 1a. I sort of prefer Flacco because of Baltimore having a better passing game, and the Bengals are coached by Marvin Lewis, who will essentially mess up some sort of sequence at least ten times a year.
7th Round, 8th Pick: Andy Dalton. I laugh, but I got a QB in the 14 team league. Unless Dalton goes insane, I don't think about keeping him. He's a QB that I just going to have to deal with. But he's the best QB I had drafted. Ever. And I realized that, and I feel pathetic.
8th through 10 Rounds: Nate Washington, Beanie Wells, Eagles-DEF. I get my 3rd WR in Washington. He's not going to be good or sexy in this spot, but I can play him some weeks. I danced with Nate a couple of times before, and got burned in the past, but I get points per reception as well. As bad I think Tennessee is with their QB with Locker, they need to throw the ball to get the pressure of Chris Johnson and the run game. I'll worry about WRs a bit later. So, I go Wells and Eagles DEF. I got 5 RBs in the first nine rounds because, I am going to safeguard myself from failure at this spot. I'll laugh, and it could happen, when my only healthy RB is Steven Jackson. I think the Eagles DEF will score more, and because I feel confident, I'm drafting them now, because I simply just passing on Greg Little and Davone Bess who go the next two picks.
11th through 14th Rounds: Mike Williams (Bucs), Santana Moss, Dustin Keller, Jacquizz Rogers. Williams and Rogers are depth picks. I think that Freeman can do better than what he did last year, and when Williams had a competent sidekick, Tampa was successful (remember Kellen Winslows good year). Santana Moss I think can do well in PPR as he'll be in the slot. The next two picks I'm debating, do I get another WR, or do I attack depth. I look at the Insider Ranks and thought about Martellius Bennett. What is wrong with me? He's not draftable in the league. I'm debating between Dallas Clark and Dustin Keller. The Jets needed to score something. I think he may be the best receiving option, if he can stay healthy. I choose Keller. Rogers is interesting. I choose Jacquizz because he could give me the Dexter McCluster season that I'm hoping for (which Jamaal Charles had done). Plus, it's PPR and Rogers could get involved. I'm taking the chance.
Last round. I take a kicker. Because I have to. I guess I should just take the kicker who can either kick a lot of 40 yarders or can kick 50 yard field goals. Janikowski got picked up. I'm going with Shayne Graham for the Texans. As long as he can put the ball through the upright, I'll take my 7-10 points per week, and run with it.
| ROCKAWAY ROCKIES | ||
| 8 | Darren McFadden, Oak RB K | |
| 22 | Hakeem Nicks, NYG WR K | |
| 36 | Fred Jackson, Buf RB | |
| 49 | Steven Jackson, StL RB | |
| 64 | Brandon Lloyd, NE WR | |
| 77 | Willis McGahee, Den RB | |
| 92 | Andy Dalton, Cin QB | |
| 105 | Nate Washington, Ten WR | |
| 120 | Beanie Wells, Ari RB | |
| 133 | Eagles D/ST D/ST | |
| 148 | Mike Williams, TB WR | |
| 161 | Santana Moss, Wsh WR | |
| 176 | Dustin Keller, NYJ TE | |
| 189 | Jacquizz Rodgers, Atl RB | |
| 204 | Shayne Graham, Hou K | |
Draft Analysis. I stacked up on RBs because if I have a shot of getting to the playoffs and winning a game, I will need them to be successful. I feel OK with Dalton as my QB, but feeling OK in a 14 team league with a QB and an Offensive Player flex position, isn't good. I got two good WRs, and I'm hoping between Washington, Moss, Williams they can fill in that 3rd spot. I got a ton of RBs which gives me options for the Offensive Player spot. As long as the Eagles can be decent and Keller stays healthy, there's some late value, which I can get some points during some good matchup weeks. Usually, I find a Kicker at some point. I don't really like Shayne Graham, but Houston will give him opportunities. He can be stable, but Graham needs to put the ball through the uprights, which he has had problems in the past. Overall successful, but we'll see how this will turn out.
No comments:
Post a Comment